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Scarred psyche
Arab News,
2 January 2003
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It was always a boast of the Israelis that they were an isolated island
of democracy surrounded by a dangerous ocean of reactionary Arab states.
For the well-meaning, but ill-informed, American voter, whose country’s
treasury has been the wellspring of Israel’s financial survival,
Israel’s democratic credentials reinforced the sentiment that it
deserved his support.
How will it seem now that Israel’s Election Commission has seen it
fit to ban two Arab deputies from standing for re-election, because it
does not agree with their political views on the plight of their fellow
Palestinians? The decision to bar Azmi Bishara and his Balad party from
contesting his seat in the Jan. 28 elections comes a day after it
disqualified another Israel Arab MP, Ahmad Tibi. The charge against them
is the catch-all "seeking the destruction" of the Jewish state.
It is an accusation that doesn’t need to be proved in Sharon’s Israel.
If it is an Arab, accusation is proof.
When it comes to specifics, Bishara is accused of supporting the
intifada and the suicide bombings. He is also charged with helping Israeli
Palestinians visit relatives in Syria, with whom Israel is still
officially at war. This last charge is clearly a ruse since it is
unthinkable that the Shin Beth, Israel’s secret service, did not know of
the visits. However, it probably suited the authorities to ignore what was
happening until it needed to use the information to discredit Bishara.
The more serious accusation however concerns Bishara’s support for
the Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza. The politician has made no
secret of his sympathy for the struggle against this naked oppression.
However, he insists that he has never condoned the suicide bombings.
But Israelis seem in no mood to listen to his arguments. Just as their
patron, President Bush, is throwing subtlety to the winds, so the Israelis
are prepared to abandon the fig leaf of running a truly representative
democracy and throw Bishara out of the political process. The Arab deputy
was right in describing the ban as "a step toward apartheid, at least
in the political culture."
Yet even if his view really were extremist, it is notable that the
Jewish ultranationalist politician Baruch Marzel of the Herut party has
been allowed to stand, despite his organization’s declared belief that
all Palestinians should be expelled from within the borders of a greater
Israel. That view is, without question, extremist. But it takes some
imagination to believe that Bishara is Marzel’s Palestinian counterpart.
However, a mature democracy, which Israel claims to be, ought to be
capable of listening to contrary views. What this would seem to
demonstrate is that Israel is increasingly unsure of itself and its doubts
are generating fear. Only a frightened man will refuse to listen to his
opponent.
The violence that Ariel Sharon has unleashed on the Palestinians
appears to have scarred the Israeli psyche. They are treating Palestinians
with the same cold cruelty that the Nazis treated the Jews with. There may
be no death camps, but there are ghettoes and trigger-happy soldiers free
to murder at will and an administration that is increasingly dehumanizing
the Palestinians. And yet, US voters are happy to pay for this.
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Conflict and unilateralism
By Fawaz Turki, Arab News, 1/2/02
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President Bush is known to be an admirer of Teddy Roosevelt, the man
who felt that the United States should speak softly and carry a big stick
— a not altogether lofty maxim, but one nevertheless that has guided
American foreign policy for a very long time indeed, and certainly since
the early 1950s.
Before El Salvador, before Chile, even before Vietnam, the boys from
Langley had engineered a coup in Guatemala that resulted in the ouster of
the elected populist reformer Jacobo Arbenz in 1952; put in place
something called Operation Ajax that brought about the overthrow of the
greatly revered Iranian leader Mohammed Mossadegh in 1953; and saw to it
that in the Congo, the allegedly "left-leaning" Patrice Lumumba
was ignominiously dispatched to his grave through torture and later
execution by his rivals in 1962. And where in other places the boys
failed, the Marines, or indigenous proxies, went there to do the job — a
job well done in pursuit of the noble cause of fighting communism.
Why, you ask, dredge up all this now? The times have changed. We live
in a different world. Let’s move on.
In reality, no past is independent of a people’s archetype or a
nation’s character. The past, as they say, is prologue.
Now enter, after Iraq, another card-carrying member of the "axis
of evil" to present President Bush with a crisis that he does not
need at this time: North Korea pushing its nuclear confrontation with the
US to the limit by announcing that it will reopen a long-closed plutonium
processing plant that may enable it to possess, we are told, enough
fissile material to build a half dozen nuclear bombs within six months.
So far — and only so far — the administration has adopted a
deliberately low-key posture in handling the crisis, but clearly in its
escalating conflict with Washington, Pyongyang could aggravate the
situation beyond the current dispute over the reactivation of the
mothballed nuclear reactor complex.
Would the US then play hardball? Go out there, as it were, and show
those uppity Orientals — as it is about to equally show those uppity
Middle Easterners — a touch of American steel, the splendor of its
musketry?
Your guess is as good as mine. But the issue that concerns us today is
the Bush administration’s dangerous tilt toward unilateralism, which it
has evinced even before Sept. 11 when the US, for example, withdrew from
the Kyoto accord on climate change, vehemently opposed the International
Criminal Court, took a pass on the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, and
imposed high tariffs on imported steel (forget the president’s rhetoric
on "free trade’).
But more importantly, this propensity for unilateralism is seen in the
conduct of the war on terrorism and the attendant strategic doctrine that
has emerged from it — namely, that the US is empowered with a carte
blanche to act against perceived rogue states when, where and how it
chooses. Indeed, even on those occasions where it made overtures to the
international community to seek consensus, say, at the UN Security
Council, Washington did so with the understanding that it reserves the
right to pursue its chosen course.
In other words, the UN does not, in the end, count, nor for that matter
does NATO, the security arm of Western Europe. Decisions over war and
peace belong to the US, and the US alone, by virtue of its pre-eminent
power.
Yet power needs restraint. This is a lesson that imperial nations
(which had torn at each others’ throats in two world wars during the
first half of the 20th century) learned the hard way.
It is to the enduring credit of American statesmen, after World War II,
that they took in that lesson, insisting on a new world order where
restraints were put upon powerful states to act in concert with the
international community and in accordance with international law. That is,
multilateral decision-making.
It did not take long, however, for all that to become water under the
bridge.
Writing in the Fall 2002 issue of World Policy Journal, organ of the
World Policy Institute, David C. Hendrikson, professor of political
science at Colorado college, said: "At no time in the last 50 years
has the United States stood in such antagonism to both the primary norms
and the central institutions of international society. The reason is not
difficult to find. These rules and institutions convey a simple message to
the Bush administration: by right you should not do what you want to do
(invade Iraq, wage preventive wars, etc.). Hence these normative and
institutional restraints have been belittled and demeaned by the
administration, as relics of a former age."
Thus, by opting to raise the specter that it might develop nuclear
weapons, North Korea is gambling (with a very weak hand indeed) that the
Bush administration, busy with the "Iraq thing," may decide to
deal with one international confrontation at a time, which presumably
would give Pyongyang the opportunity to develop a credible nuclear
deterrent as fast as possible — since, its leaders must have concluded,
not altogether improbably, that their country is next on Washington’s
hit list.
This is dangerous brinkmanship because we live in unilateralist times,
dominated by a unilateralist superpower convinced that, to get its way in
the world, whether in Iraq, Palestine, North Korea and Iran, it is best
not to work with others.
(disinherited@yahoo.com)
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Chances of talks over Kashmir
remote as parties toughen stance
By Izhar Wani
Arab News, 1/2/02
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SRINAGAR, 2 January 2003 — As all parties in the Kashmir dispute
toughen their stands, the chances of immediate negotiations over the
future of the disputed Himalayan region seem remote.
Deputy Prime Minister Lal Krishna Advani said during a tour of
Indian-administered Kashmir last week that New Delhi was ready to talk to
elected representatives and others, including those who chose to stay away
from state elections held in September-October. All pro-India groups in
Kashmir, including the ruling Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) headed by the
new Chief Minister Mufti Mohammed Sayeed welcomed Advani’s gesture.
"Nobody except those working against the restoration of peace in
the state could oppose the dialogue process," Sayeed said. "The
bullet has no role where dialogue can resolve the problem," he said,
describing Advani’s offer of talks as "unconditional
Muslim militant groups and separatists have rejected the offer saying
it has nothing new in it to solve the problem of Kashmir, where a Muslim
anti-India rebellion has cost 37,500 lives since 1989. "The Kashmir
issue can be resolved through trilateral talks involving India, Pakistan
and the representatives of Kashmiris," said Salim Hashmi, the chief
spokesman for region’s dominant rebel group Hizbul Mujahedeen.
Omar Farooq, Kashmir’s leading Muslim cleric and one of the top
leaders of the main separatist alliance the All Parties Hurriyat
Conference (APHC) also stressed the need to engage Pakistan in talks over
the future of the region. But on Monday, Advani said New Delhi would not
talk to any Kashmiri separatists who "reflected Pakistan’s
voice."
"We are ready to talk to elected representatives and to others as
well but not with those who only reflect Pakistan’s voice and consider
that country to be their master," Advani said.
New Delhi says it will not resume talks with Islamabad over Kashmir
until the latter stops backing what it says is "cross-border
terrorism" in Kashmir. "We do not want to talk to Pakistan or
their proxies. If we have to talk to Pakistan, we will not require any
intermediary," he said.
Advani’s remarks have left the prospect of negotiations even less
likely. Farooq, 29, Tuesday hit out at Advani saying if he thought the
Hurriyat was a "proxy of Pakistan he is highly mistaken."
"We are neither the proxy of India, nor the proxy of Pakistan,"
he told AFP, "we are representatives of the aspirations of the people
of Kashmir."
Advani’s remarks were "unwarranted," Farooq said.
"Today or tomorrow India will have to talk to all the parties
involved in the Kashmir dispute, including Pakistan." he said.
Kashmir’s new chief minister has also been advocating
"unconditional" talks between New Delhi, Kashmiri separatists
and Muslim rebels. However, last week he also backtracked from the
pre-poll commitment, saying rebels will have to lay down their arms before
negotiations start. The plea was rejected outright by the rebels.
There is growing international pressure on both India and Pakistan to
resume talks over Kashmir, stalled since July 2001 when Pakistan President
Pervez Musharraf made a landmark trip to India. The talks broke down over
Kashmir, and since then separatist violence in the region has gone up.
India blames Pakistan for arming and funding the militants, but
Islamabad, which has been calling for dialogue, says it is doing its best
to stop Muslim rebels crossing into Indian Kashmir. Indian officials say
the cross-border infiltration has come down, but not completely stopped. (AFP)
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Musharraf
using alibi of imperfect society
By Husain Haqqani,
Gulf News, 02-01-2003
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In a recent speech General Pervez Musharraf attempted to justify the
duplicitous policies of his government on grounds of pragmatism.
"Pakistan is an imperfect society," he told the annual dinner of
the Pakistani American Physicians Political Action Committee, adding,
"Idealistic solutions will not work in an imperfect society. When
idealism and pragmatism clash, pragmatism will be followed for the sake of
the country". In effect he was saying that he and his colleagues in
the ruling oligarchy know what is best for the country and if they seem
unethical or self-serving in their conduct, it is simply their pragmatic
response to imperfect conditions.
Musharraf is, of course, a soldier not an intellectual. His effort to
intellectualise his regime's now almost universally criticised conduct
reflects the lack of knowledge of politics and history that has been the
characteristic of most of Pakistan's military leaders. During his visit to
India for the Agra summit in 2001, the general had reportedly turned to
his Indian hosts and asked how Gandhi died, making it obvious that
knowledge of political history was not his forte. One must, therefore,
excuse him for arguing that Pakistan's difficulties are attributable to
its "imperfect society", and implying that countries with
advanced and effective political systems are somehow perfect societies.
The fact is there are no perfect societies and if Pakistan has
imperfections, that is not sufficient reason to run it as a cross between
a medieval monarchy and a praetorian state. Like previous military rulers,
Musharraf only focused on the election of not-so-good politicians to
parliament as the country's major imperfection. He reiterated his claim of
having braved external threats and of having improved the economy. He
blamed the lack of economic progress on "loot and plunder". Not
once did he pause to consider that the real cause of Pakistan's political
and economic backwardness might lie with the absence of institutional
balance, which in turn is attributable to the overwhelming role of the
Pakistani military in national life.
Let us take the economy. Is it alleged loot and plunder, or over five
decades of unsustainable military expenditure that has prevented
investment in infrastructure and the building of the social elements of
economic development? Can there be investment in a country where
legitimacy of governments is constantly in question and the investor
welcomed by one regime is imprisoned by the next? Is economic growth
attainable in the midst of conflict and militancy?
How can the public sector be productive when it is managed mostly by
generals trained in the art of warfare rather than business management, or
by bureaucrats uninitiated in enterprise? Where in the world, from Latin
America to Myanmar to Nigeria to Indonesia, has military rule been able to
generate self-sustaining economic growth, notwithstanding the temporary
fulfillment of IMF criteria?
Moreover, one may well ask, what did imperfection of Pakistani society
have to do with the military adventurism of 1965, the debacle of 1971 that
resulted in the creation of Bangladesh or the strategic delusions of the
last two decades that made Pakistan the patron of Afghanistan's Taliban.
How are ordinary Pakistanis to blame for the consistent fallacy of
periodically joining the U.S. in its global plans as a means of
maintaining military balance with India?
The imperfections that ail Pakistan are not those of its society but
rather those of its state. Societies are an organic entity that undergoes
evolution and periodic change. Pakistan is no exception. With all its
imperfections, Pakistani society can continue to evolve, absorbing and
dealing with the many shocks that are inevitable in such evolution. It is
Pakistan's state apparatus that must free itself of its militarist
fixations.
Pakistan possesses nuclear weapons and maintains an impressive military
capability. But it does not have the structure of a state under rule of
law, and its economic and institutional foundations are far weaker than
its military capability. Its judiciary is subject to manipulation by the
executive. Its constitution is at the mercy of its army chief. Its
decisions of friendship with other countries are made not through open
discussion but as a result of secret deliberations.
Its national interest is defined not by its people or their
representatives but by an oligarchy that often miscalculates only to cover
up its miscalculations. For example, Pakistan is paying a heavy price
today for becoming part of the Jihadi adventurism of the 1990s. Extremists
continue to threaten peace and tranquility in Pakistani cities, where
terrorist attacks have become a regular feature. Pakistani citizens are
being humiliated in the United States by being asked to submit themselves
to fingerprinting like criminals, even though their country is ostensibly
allied to the U.S. Yet not once has Musharraf or any of his colleagues
thought of analysing why their Jihadi policy led to this state of affairs
and whether a more fundamental rethinking in Pakistan's worldview is
necessary. Accepting responsibility and saying "Sorry, we made a
mistake" for them is out of the question.
The success of a nation lies in unleashing the energy of its people for
productive purposes. The function of the state must be to create the
enabling environment for the people's productivity to manifest itself. But
in Pakistan, individual talent and ability is considered a liability.
Soldiers with no training in statecraft run the country. Intelligence
officers trained for limited tasks make strategy and confer certificates
of patriotism.
The secretive nature of the state gets the nation involved in matters it
has not even contemplated. For example, the Soviet Union was angered by
the flight of American U-2 spy planes from Peshawar in 1962 and in 1971 by
Pakistan's role in facilitating U.S. contacts with China in the form of
Henry Kissinger's secret Beijing trip. But the people of Pakistan knew
nothing about Field Marshal Ayub Khan's decision to allow the U-2s to
operate from Pakistan or of Chief Martial Law Admini-strator General Yahya
Khan's diplomatic adventure.
While trying to pass blame for his regime's failings to the imperfections
of Pakistani society, Musharraf once again spoke disparagingly of the
Pakistani media. "Sometimes I ask myself whether I should have given
freedom to this extent because the newspapers distorted the facts,"
he said while describing journalists as irresponsible. "The enemy
lies within", was his way of suggesting that those who do not see
things the way he does are somehow enemies of the country. But freedom of
the press has come to Pakistan after a long struggle by journalists and it
is absurd to talk of it in terms that England's King John could have
spoken of having granted the Magna Carta. (Even the Magna Carta was
wrested by English nobles, not granted by a benign king).
For the second time in three months, he singled out "Pakistani
journalists living abroad" for criticism. Several observers have
pointed out that some of his remarks were personally aimed at this
columnist. According to Musharraf, my criticism of him is somehow related
to the fact that having served as an adviser in the governments of Nawaz
Sharif and Benazir Bhutto I expected to have similar status in the
Musharraf regime. Since he did not confer it on me, his reasoning goes, I
have started publishing criticism of his regime in my column and in
articles appearing in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal and the
International Herald Tribune. Firstly, it is important to bear in mind
that I left both civilian governments of my own volition and was critical
of the military regime from its earliest days. Second, shouldn't Musharraf
and his team be answering the arguments of his media critics instead of
making personal attacks against them?
Husain Haqqani is currently a Visiting Scholar at the Carnegie
Endowment for International Peace in Washington DC. He served as adviser
to Prime Ministers Nawaz Sharif and Benazir Bhutto and as Pakistan's
ambassador to Sri Lanka.
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The
fall and potential rise of liberalism
By Joshua Zeitz, Gulf News, 02-01-2003
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"There are usually two general schools of political belief,"
Franklin D. Roosevelt said in 1941, "liberal and conservative."
Liberals, the president continued, understood that "as new conditions
and problems arise beyond the power of men and women to meet as
individuals, it becomes the duty of the government itself to find new
remedies with which to meet them." Conservatives, he said, believed
"that there is no necessity for the government to step in."
Rounding out his lecture on political theory, Roosevelt noted that
"the clear and undisputed fact is that at least since 1932, the
Democratic Party has been the liberal party, and the Republican Party has
been the conservative party."
With those words, Roosevelt fundamentally reinvented the American
political lexicon.
Before the Great Depression, the terms "liberal" and
"conservative" were rarely used to describe political ideology
or party politics. It was other things that divided the parties. Electoral
contests had pitted "individualists" against
"paternalists," "radicals" against
"progressives." Then came the 1930s with their unprecedented
policy crises, which prompted FDR to manufacture new labels better suited
to the politics of the day.
Roosevelt didn't view the terms as value-neutral. Conservatism was
something to be shunned; liberalism was to be celebrated. Yet in the 60 or
so years since the New Deal, Republicans have turned the tables on the
Democratic Party. They have embraced the word conservative, turning a
pejorative into a positive. And for at least 15 years, Democrats have
aided this effort by running fast from the liberal tag. History suggests
that there is another way.
Democratic presidents haven't always quaked at the mere mention of
liberalism. Harry S. Truman insisted that it was the only truly effective
bulwark against communism. John F. Kennedy boasted that, "Liberalism
seeks not only the negative challenges of communism and survival, but the
far more searching challenges of our own ideals."
As president, Lyndon B. Johnson freely described himself as a liberal and
argued that government could and should do "a lot of things" for
the public. Even Jimmy Carter, who was not beloved by the left wing of his
party, proudly characterised the 1976 Democratic platform as "very
liberal, very socially motivated."
Surprisingly, given FDR's intention that conservative should be a shameful
label, Republicans gradually came to embrace the term. Although he lost
badly in his 1964 run for the presidency, Barry Goldwater celebrated
himself as a conservative and encouraged a rising generation of party
activists to do the same. In 1968, Richard M. Nixon ran a campaign that
gave further definition to this conservative synthesis - one that
galvanised popular opposition to taxes, inflation, government spending and
regulation, and minority rights.
Although Nixon governed closer to the centre than his rhetoric might have
suggested, his ideological heir, Ronald Reagan, captured the White House
in 1980 and completed a process that made liberalism a near-expletive.
"The masquerade is over," Reagan exclaimed shortly before
leaving office. "It's time to use the dreaded L-word; to say the
policies of our opposition are liberal, liberal, liberal." His
successor, George H.W. Bush, expressed the same sentiment with equal
vigour, if less clarity. "The liberals don't like it when I talk
about liberal," he taunted.
And they didn't. Battered by their losses in 1980, 1984 and 1988, most
Democratic Party strategists began running from the term. Under the
spiritual guidance of the Democratic Leadership Council, the self-styled
centrist wing of the party, Democrats over the last 15 years have issued a
subtle mea culpa for liberalism's mistakes and excesses.
Bill Clinton was a primary beneficiary of the strategy. Many observers
credit his rejection of the liberal label as a primary factor in his 1992
presidential win. In a bid to salvage his political fortunes after the
Democratic party's monumental losses in the 1994 election cycle, Clinton
embraced the advice of his ideologically ambidextrous guru, Dick Morris,
who counselled "triangulation." That is, by claiming the centre
for himself, Clinton implied that congressional liberals and conservatives
were equally extreme. He banked on the electorate's seeming affection for
moderation, and his strategy worked.
Aided by then-Rep. Newt Gingrich and his archconservative supporters in
the congressional class of '94, Clinton was able to convince a critical
number of Americans that radicals on the conservative right were more
immediately dangerous than radicals on the liberal left.
The president won re-election in 1996. But at his party's expense. He
might have made voters leery of extreme conservatism, but he also
unwittingly convinced them that there is something fundamentally wrong
with liberalism.
Triangulation was never a permanent fix, and in 2000 George W. Bush threw
the Democrats a curveball. He redefined conservatism. Instead of running
to the rhetorical centre, as the Democrats have done for more than 15
years now, he stood by the conservative label. Moreover, he successfully
made the case that conservatism could be compassionate. It was safe, soft,
embracing.
The strategy worked. Public opinion surveys reveal that about
three-quarters of Americans agree that Bush is conservative. Yet on the
eve of his inauguration, at the height of partisan division over the
disputed 2000 election, a resounding 58 per cent believed the new
president would "govern in a way that is truly compassionate."
Liberalism remains discredited. But conservatism is once again a
respectable tag.
Democrats are faced with two options: They can seek to redraw the
political landscape and invent a new rhetorical dichotomy, as Roosevelt
did in the 1930s. Or they can try to resuscitate liberalism.
Some Democrats have opted for the former strategy. They prefer the term
progressive to liberal and hope to sidestep the old Roosevelt terminology
altogether. The problem is, history suggests that the winners dictate the
terms only after they've gained critical momentum. And right now, the
Democrats are flailing.
Moreover, the electorate is sensitive to the appearance of redefinition.
The news media and public alike belittled Al Gore for abandoning
Washington Beltway blue in favour of earth tones. It seemed a telling
metaphor for his frequent ideological metamorphoses. Democrats run much
the same risk should they try to adopt new labels.
A bolder strategy would be to reclaim the liberal tag. Just as President
Bush saved conservatism by making it "compassionate," Democrats
could recoup liberalism by making it "common sense." They could
take a cue from Lewis Carroll's Humpty Dumpty, who explains to Alice:
"When I use a word, it means just what I choose it to mean - neither
more nor less."
On taxes, Democrats could say: If liberalism means that tax cuts should be
targeted to working Americans rather than the very rich, then yes, we're
liberals.
On fiscal responsibility, Democrats could say: If liberalism means
managing government spending with the same discipline that families manage
their household budgets, then yes, we're liberals. They could say: Bill
Clinton, a common-sense liberal, balanced the federal budget; Reagan and
both Bushes, conservatives all, racked up the largest budget deficits in
the nation's history.
On Social Security, Democrats could say: If liberalism means guaranteeing
a dignified retirement for senior citizens, then yes, we're liberals.
Common-sense liberals invented Social Security in the 1930s; conservatives
opposed it. Common-sense liberals extended Social Security to cover most
American workers in the 1940s and 1950s; conservatives opposed expanded
coverage. Conservatives want to invest Social Security revenues in the
stock market; common-sense liberals want to shield Social Security from
the vicissitudes of the Dow Jones industrial average.
On the environment, Democrats could say: For decades, the federal
government gave away millions of acres of land and billions of dollars in
precious metals, lumber and fuel to private interests. Common-sense
liberals like Roosevelt, Carter and Clinton insisted that vital national
resources like the Alaskan wilderness be preserved for public, rather than
private, use; conservatives still want to allow private companies to
exploit the public domain for profit.
The recent selection of liberal San Francisco Democratic Representative
Nancy Pelosi as minority leader of the House of Representatives suggests
that the Democratic congressional caucus intends to highlight its
differences with the administration. If so, the party might do well to
embrace the liberal tag rather than hide from it.
This is no easy task. It demands equal faith in the electorate and the
basic logic of the party's central ideas. But most of all, it requires
leadership.
Originally published by The Los Angeles Times-Washington Post News Service
Zeitz is a visiting assistant professor of history at Brown University.
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Pakistan's leaders must keep
track of its national interests
By Mushahid Hussain, Khaleej
Times, 1/2/03
-
SOME recent developments in
Pakistan's foreign policy with respect to the region are heartening, since
these are pointers to reversing wrongs of the past and injecting a
much-needed economic component in foreign policy.
These developments include
the Kabul Declaration on non-interference and friendship signed by six
neighbours of Afghanistan on December 22; the visit of President Khatami -
his first - to Pakistan and the Trans-Afghan Pipeline that will link
Pakistan, Afghanistan and Turkmenistan.
Together with the new
project for building Gwadar Port with China's help, and the proposal for a
gas pipeline from Qatar, these initiatives will help Pakistan regain what
it lost during the era from 1989 to 2001. Then its flawed foreign policy,
largely driven by an obsession for 'strategic depth' in Afghanistan,
actually undermined the national interest as well as relationships with
neighbours.
Pakistani officialdom's
thinking was far removed from ground realities even after September 11.
When General Musharraf first met President Bush in New York on November
10, 2001, he made a public plea to the Americans not to allow the Northern
Alliance to conquer Kabul. Three days later, with American blessings, the
Northern Alliance entered Kabul in triumph after Taleban had fled.
It is amazing how Pakistani
policymakers seemed to be caught unawares about the nexus between
Washington and the Northern Alliance, forged covertly in 1998. These
policymakers had also forgotten that the US goal in Afghanistan was
nothing short of toppling the Taleban and replacing it with its opponents,
primarily the Northern Alliance.
By seeking to forge a
strategic economic partnership with Afghanistan, Iran, China and the
Central Asian states, Pakistan will be in a position to exploit its unique
location, human capital and infrastructure. It will also be able to seek a
genuine convergence of interests, since these initiatives are not driven
by any hidden agenda. This opportunity provides for long-term benefits to
Pakistan and rewards that will be enduring because the interests of
neighbouring states are recognised and respected and they too have a stake
in such a budding economic bond. Pakistan's policymakers would do well to
examine how others defend their national interest. Some examples:
In the last few weeks,
elections in three countries which are close allies of the United States
have resulted in victories for parties and leaders, whose views are at
variance with Washington on key issues. In Turkey, a neo-Islamist
government has emerged, in Brazil, a leftist President and in South Korea,
a president critical of the US approach towards North Korea and Iraq. In
all three cases, putting aside any political differences, President Bush
personally invited these leaders to the White House because he saw it as
vital to US interests.
- In return for allowing use
of its territory for the war against Iraq, Turkey sought and got full
American support for membership of the European Union, with Bush even
resorting to lobbying European leaders in this regard. It also
demanded a $5 billion write-off regarding its military debt, for which
negotiations are still underway.
- On December 17, the US
government announced that three new countries, which included Armenia,
were being added to those listed for registration because of potential
terrorist connections.
Immediately, the Armenian
ambassador in Washington told the American media: "We are a
Christian country, and we have nothing to do with these terrorist
groups." And he also orchestrated a quick campaign of lobbying
the White House and political mobilisation of Armenians in the US,
with the result that his country was off the 'black list' while
Pakistan and other Muslim countries remain there.
This also means two
other things: the 'black list' is based on political compulsions, and
not national security considerations as the US has been claiming
because political considerations forced Armenia off the list. Armenia
apparently has more political clout in Washington than Pakistan or
Arab countries, or so it would seem. The reference to religion by the
ambassador of Armenia was published on December 18 in The Washington
Post.
And this is happening to
Pakistan at a time when it is supposedly a key coalition partner of
the United States in the 'war on terror', which American commentators
and policymakers now publicly admit could not have been successful in
Afghanistan without Pakistan's 'linchpin' role.
Obviously, this would
lead to the sad but inevitable conclusion that Pakistan bargained
badly with the United States yet again, giving much more, but getting
far less in return. What are the reasons behind the failure to truly
promote, preserve and protect the national interest? At least three
are relevant.
First, it is often not
the national interest but the narrow vested interest of a regime or a
ruler that is sought to be promoted. The interests of the nation or
the people are far down on the list of priorities. 'Me first' takes
precedence over 'Pakistan first'.
Second, there is a
cultural problem that rises in Pakistani rulers while negotiating with
Westerners. Since most of them are not cognisant of how the Western
system functions, they operate from the same mindset that determines a
superior's relations with a subordinate in the Pakistani officialdom's
framework. Disagreement of a subordinate is thus tantamount to earning
displeasure of the superior. Unpalatable truths and critical views are
withheld and the result is a quest for a convergence of views that are
sometimes phoney.
Finally, the absence of a
system of institutionalised decision-making hurts the national
interest, since decisions are not arrived at through discussion and
deliberation. In a one-man show, an all-powerful individual can be
easily pressured to give a definitive 'yes' or 'no' without thinking
through the ramifications of the decisions. The pros and cons or the
quid pro quo are never really debated threadbare. - Inter Press
Service
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