October 15, 2002 Opinion Editorials

 

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'Bully' for Carter and a 'kick in the leg' for 'Dubya'

By Myint Zan

Jordan Times, 10/15/02
 

“THERE YOU go again.” This phrase was almost jeeringly but effectively used by the “great communicator”, Ronald Reagan, in the one and only 1980 US presidential debate he had with then US President Jimmy Carter. A week later, “at the hands of” Ronald Reagan, Carter was defeated in one of the biggest landslides in the US presidential election. Yet, in the fields of peace, development and promotion of human rights, Carter has been “back” in the international scene again and again since his “going” from the US presidency. As he put it, with characteristic smile, in a speech to the Democratic Party Convention in 1984: “Here I go again. ... and I am speaking about the same things: peace, a fair go for all and human rights...”

One could add in the year 2002 that he has been assiduously working on these issues for more than two decades since he left office after his “failed presidency”. Now, the Nobel Peace Committee has deservedly awarded the 2002 Nobel Peace Prize to the 39th president of the United States, selecting Carter from among a record 156 nominations for the coveted prize.

The 2002 Nobel Peace Committee showed (with apologies to Jane Austen) “sense and sensibility” when it bestowed its coveted prize and honour on one of the (if not the) most intelligent, hardworking, decent and ethical of modern American presidents. Certainly, none of the living or former American presidents in recent — nay even distant — memory has worked so hard for the promotion not only of peace, civil and political rights but also of such other basic rights as the right to health especially among the people of the developing countries.

The late and renowned Harvard palaeontologist and historian of science Stephen Jay Gould wrote in his 1992 book `Bully for Brontosaurus' that Carter was not only the “most intelligent of US presidents since (Franklin) Roosevelt” (with the quip that “though of late the competition has not been that tough”), but that Carter was — and is — also “a wonderful and gracious man”. Gould narrated that Carter phoned him to inquire about Gould's health after his successful recovery from a rare form of cancer. Following Gould's praise of the term “brontosaurus” for a certain type of dinosaur one might delightfully, admiringly — and if I may put it that way — indeed affectionately, say “Bully for Jimmy Carter!” and the good people of the Carter Centre which was established 20 years ago and which has now received the honour that they so deserved.

No Nobel peace award would go without comment, controversy, dissent, criticism and even condemnation. Some, like that of the Kissinger award in 1973, would arguably arouse more comments and controversy than others. Even the awarding of Nobel peace prizes to such “saintly” (in the non-technical and non-denominational sense of the word) figures like Mother Teresa arouses some “demurrer” and dissent, if not emotions. Personally, the only two other Nobel peace awards that were awarded to individuals (rather than organisations) in recent years and kindled in me emotions of gratitude, appreciation and admiration were those to my fellow country person Aung San Suu Kyi (for the year 1991) and Kim Dae Jung (for the year 2000).

At times, comments made by the Nobel Peace Committee or its members can also be the subject of comment, if not controversy. For example, in its 2001 Nobel Peace Prize introduction speech in Oslo, on Dec. 10, 2001, the chairman of the Nobel Peace Committee said that the only other UN secretary general that can be positively compared with Kofi Annan is Dag Hammarskjold, the second UN secretary general. I might add that Hammarskjold — in an unprecedented break with tradition — arguably became the first and only person to be posthumously awarded the Nobel Peace Prize. The chairman's remarks showed he considered Annan to be the “best” UN secretary general, bar perhaps Hammarskjold. The other five former secretaries general were therefore at least indirectly marginalised or disparaged by this “observation”. One wonders what the reaction of the truly self-effacing U Thant or even Perez de Cuellar, the third and fifth UN secretaries general respectively — both having done their very best in serving the United Nations — would be to such a commentary.

The chairman of the 2002 Nobel Peace Prize Committee, Gunna Merge, has also been criticised by some for his comments when he announced this year's award to Jimmy Carter. Merge stated that the award “should be interpreted as a criticism of the line that the current [United States] administration has taken [against Iraq]”. He added that the award to Carter “is a kick in the leg to all those that follow the same line as that of the United States”. Though two members of the Norwegian Nobel Peace Prize Committee had “distanced” themselves from the chairman's comments, not all have done so. Indeed, at least one of the committee members has openly endorsed Merge's comments. A BBC commentator has criticised Merge for “politicising the Nobel peace prize process”. He also argued that Merge's comments “marginalised” and perhaps even “demeaned” the award to Carter in that it might have been “used” to send a message to the current Bush administration.

These comments can be described as amounting to “depoliticising the political”. Activities and awards like those of Nobel Prize Committees — even for the “technical” subjects like chemistry, physics, medicine, and yes especially economics and literature — are partly suffused with the “political”, at least in the broad sense of the term. Based on the likelihood of a possible costly and bloody war in Iraq, I would assert that there is nothing politically, morally and perhaps even diplomatically wrong with sending an explicit or implicit message to the current president in the White House. And that message to Bush and his cohorts is all the more justified when the recipient of the world's most prestigious peace prize this year is his predecessor and a former peanut farmer from Plains, Georgia.

As far as “using” Carter is concerned, the former president has only said that he has been humbled by and is grateful for the honour the Nobel Peace Prize Committee has bestowed on him. In his news conference, Carter — though he did not directly criticise the Bush administration — emphasised his strong belief that the current crisis concerning Iraq, (which in part has been engineered by the Bush-Blair — or is it “Dubya-Tony” duo?) needs to be solved in accordance with international law and through the auspices of the United Nations: the same message that was explicitly stated in the Nobel Peace Prize Committee's citation. At least some members of the Nobel Peace Prize Committee have, almost explicitly, made a comparison between Carter's “tireless effort throughout the decades for peace” and the exploitative, opportunistic, indeed almost jingoistic predilections of “Dubya” as far as the situation in Iraq is concerned.

Sadly, the “message” of the Nobel Prize Peace Committee may well be treated with contempt or will almost certainly be “politely ignored” by the current US administration. As far as the situation in Iraq is concerned, the US-UK administrations' aggressive “bilateral” efforts towards war against Iraq may prevail over the wishes and efforts of the “peace-makers” like Carter and the Nobel Peace-Committee, not to say millions of peace-loving people across the world.

Carter states that he accepts the award on behalf of the “suffering people of the world”. Marx once wrote about the desirability if not the necessity of making “suffering people think” and “thinking people suffer”. It is gratifying to see that one “thinking” person's thoughtful and dedicated efforts — in some small way as Carter himself has graciously stated — to relieve the suffering of some people have been recognised by awarding the 2002 Nobel Peace Prize to Jimmy Carter.

The writer is lecturer at the School of Law, University of the South Pacific, Vanuatu. He contributed this article to The Jordan Times.

 

 


 

 

Saddam factor in American elections
By Richard H. Curtiss
, Special to Arab News, 10/15/02

For a man who once was regarded as not the sharpest knife in the drawer, George W. Bush seems either to have been vastly underrated or is — once again — a very lucky man. Most of the credit for Bush’s current good fortune probably goes to Karl Rove, strategist for the Bush administration and a master of timing.

Rove set out early this year to win the off-year elections for Republicans. Timing was essential: Rove didn’t want to rush it, because his strategy was to bring the problem of Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein to the public forefront just as voters pick up their ballots. In fact, this happened almost too quickly. Happily for Rove — and Bush — however, the Democrats were divided on what to do about Saddam.

As a result of this division, given the fact that the American electorate moves relatively slowly, most voters will reach their own conclusions almost exactly as the voting begins. Since both the Senate and the House are facing critical elections, Rove and Bush have done their utmost to give their candidates the edge on timing.

Until about three months ago, leading Democrats had very high hopes of keeping their newly found Senate majority, possibly taking the House as well. Now, however, the situation has reversed itself. The Senate may go back to Republican control, and the House will continue to have a Republican majority.

What follows in the coming four weeks are only the details. Bush wants one UN resolution to deal with Saddam, while France wants two. The first option would insist that weapons inspectors be allowed into all parts of Iraq with no conditions or delays, allowing for military action if Saddam does not cooperate. The French option demands the same access, but would require a second vote to consider military action if Saddam should equivocate.

Under either scenario, it will take time to bring back the inspectors and start moving the inspections forward. It is highly unlikely that Saddam will begin to equivocate, particularly if the Iraqis truly have nothing to hide. Bush would be relieved to discover that Saddam is cooperating. It is expensive, to put it mildly, to mount an entire task force, particularly when the US does not really have the money to carry out such a plan without assistance from its allies. If, on the other hand, it appears that Saddam really is cheating, then many US allies — both from Europe and probably much of the Middle East — would join a coalition, as was the case in the 1991 Gulf war.

Either way, Bush wins. He needs allies, particularly in the Arab world, because he literally can’t afford a war otherwise. The Arabs, it should be noted, have said nothing about helping to pay the costs of such a war, and the Americans simply can’t pay for it without very serious economic repercussions. Despite Bush’s bombast, he has no intention of going it alone.

At this point, Bush will have survived this year’s fall elections and will be in no hurry to deal with what follows. He doesn’t care whether it turns out that Saddam does plan to cheat — in which case Bush will have allies — or whether Saddam decides to allow full inspections — in which case the problem will soon be over.

So what does Bush do for an encore before the 2004 elections? Obviously, almost the entire world will hope that Bush turns his attention to the burning issue of the hour. That, of course, is insisting on a just peace for the Palestinians. All of the ground work has been laid. The Arab League has agreed that, if Israel withdraws to the pre-1967 borders, nearly every Arab nation would extend Israel full diplomatic relations.

It’s quite obvious, however, that Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, and several other Israeli officials, have no intention of returning to those borders. Their strategy would most likely be to start a new diversion — any diversion — rather than make peace with the Palestinians.

Thus, the Israelis already are probing for new ways to avoid a solution. They have reconnoitered the prospects for a public relations offensive against Saudi Arabia. Another possibility would be for Israel to start agitating against Syria, with the added benefit of keeping the Golan Heights permanently. Other potential targets are Libya, Iran or even Yemen. For the Israelis, it doesn’t really matter — just as long as a new diversion appears before the problem of Saddam is resolved.

While it is possible that the Bush administration will deal with the Palestine problem before some new catastrophe emerges, given the makeup of the Bush inner circle — Vice President Richard Cheney, Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, and their ilk — there is not much likelihood of that happening. On the other hand, Secretary of State Colin L. Powell will almost certainly want to deal with the Palestine problem directly, as that is the only sensible course of action.

It also is the only realistic way to deal with the administration’s other problems in the Middle East. The Al-Qaeda problem, for example, will probably take care of itself if there is a just solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict.

So will Powell prevail over the formidable odds stacked against him? This writer thinks the situation may be more hopeful than it looks. The time is ripe for a settlement of the Palestine problem.

In fact, in the absence of such a settlement, there is a disconnect in everything else the US wants to do — and, indeed, must do — if world peace is to prevail.

All of this will take time, of course — and that is exactly what the Israelis are counting on. Their strategy will be to stall until the 2004 elections are under way, in order to once again influence American voters. However, the US must deal with the Palestine problem now.

— Richard H. Curtiss is the news editor of the Washington Report on Middle East Affairs magazine.

 


 

TOWARDS THE JUDAIZATION OF PALESTINE AFTER THAT OF JERUSALEM AMERICA’S ‘BALFOUR DECLARATION’ TARGETS THE ARAB AND ISLAMIC CHARACTER OF THE HOLY CITY

America's 'Balfour declaration' targets the Arab and Islamic character of the Holy Land, by Melhem Karam

The Daily Star, 10/14/02

 

At the height of the US presidential election campaign between the Democrat “donkey” and the Republican “elephant”, one of the principal journalists on the staff of the Arabic weekly Al-Hawadeth wrote a piece of investigative reporting on the program of the George Bush-Dick Cheney tandem, facing the Al Gore-Joseph Lieberman tandem. It was the title of the piece that caught my attention: “The promise of Bush Jr. to the Jewish electorate: To transfer the US embassy to Jerusalem and entrench that city as Israel’s ‘eternal capital’”. The title stirred up my fears and doubts.
Cancelling all my appointments and engagements, I made a detailed reading of the article, which was to be the magazine’s upcoming cover story. I was astonished at the accuracy and precision with which currents of opinion in the Republican Party were analyzed, from the religious fundamentalists to the Texas oilmen, and with which the party’s alliances and vision of the world were discussed. I had a kind of shock on reading of one point of Bush Jr.’s political program, the one concerning the Arab-Israeli conflict. There, in an adoption of the Israeli viewpoint, it was insinuated that the US embassy would be moved from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem if the Republican candidate won the election.
I got in touch with the author of the article in question to ask him if he was quite sure of his statements, especially since, in the Republican election “platform”, no clear reference was made on moving the embassy to Jerusalem as Israel’s capital. It was made furtively with the aim of catching Jewish votes but without arousing Arab anger, especially the Gulf states, which had regarded the Bush clan with favor ever since the liberation of Kuwait.
The reporter told me that Condoleezza Rice, now the national security advisor, had travelled secretly to Tel Aviv, where she met with spokesmen for the government and the opposition, after being informed of the “principles and bases” of America’s alignment towards Israel. Then she overflew the West Bank in an Israeli army helicopter in the company of Ariel Sharon, then leader of the opposition, who -- it was reported by the mass-circulation daily Yediot Aharanot -- admired her brown legs.
In spite of all the data with which I was supplied, I decided, in my capacity as editor-in-chief, to replace the above-mentioned title with another. Recently, returning to the number of the magazine in question, I was struck by the precision of the investigation and its premonitory analysis, the more so since it came two years before the attempts to destroy the authority of President Arafat, to exterminate the Palestinian people, and to accelerate the colonization and Judaization of Jerusalem -- a process crowned by the dramatic moment represented by the signature by President Bush of the act of Congress affirming that the holy city was the eternal capital of Israel.
The act, passed by Congress, places the American consulate, set up in East Jerusalem before the Israeli occupation of 1967, under the authority of the embassy. This consulate, responsible for contacts with Arafat, has until now presented its reports directly to the State Department in Washington, bypassing the embassy in Tel Aviv.
It was a regrettable somnolence, or a political absence and a diplomatic negligence on the part of the Arabs that prevented action to thwart or torpedo such a dangerous decision before it could be adopted. The Arabs reacted tardily, after the dark cloud had appeared above the Capitol, at a time when the Sharonites were working assiduously in the corridors of power and influence to which the Zionists have such easy access, to have the bill passed.
Equity requires us to say that Bush signed the bill reluctantly and expressed reservations about its basic provisions, stating that he would ignore any that interfered with his constitutional responsibility for conducting the foreign policy of the United States.
But despite the game of reservations, the “2003 Foreign Relations Authorization Act” constitutes a practical step in the direction of recognizing Israel as Israel’s “eternal” capital. President Bush committed himself to this during his campaign in 2000 and approved this decision after the events of September 11, 2001, to reward Israel and to punish the Arabs and Muslims. This fact was not published in the American media but was consigned to diplomatic secrecy. It was recently revealed by statements by Condoleezza Rice, when she declared that her country wanted to teach the Arabs and Muslims the arts of democracy.
It is natural that the Arabs should be incensed, but it is not natural that their anger should be limited to words. Damascus has denounced the flagrant American prejudice in favor of Israel and its unlimited support for the Zionist state. Saudi Arabia has expressed “its disquietude and extreme concern”, noting that the American decision violated international legality and went against resolutions of the UN Security Council and, indeed, against American foreign policy itself.
Further, the act is a wrong message to Israel, encouraging it to use greater harshness and extremism towards the Palestinians. Egypt has deplored the law as a reward for the Jewish state when in fact there should be pressure on Tel Aviv to induce it to conform with the requirements of international legality. Jordan, the Libyan Jamahiriya, Iran and the Islamic World League, based in Mecca, have done the same, urging the United States to respect the historic and juridical rights of the Arabs and Muslims in Jerusalem, the site of many Islamic holy places, not least the Aqsa Mosque. But what has there been, apart from denunciations in the local press, to counter the new American “Balfour Declaration”?
The Arabs have not hitherto been able to compel, even partially, the US Congress, which is the citadel of international support for Israeli policies. That is why Congress takes advantage of Arab weakness to adopt the most prejudicial decisions in regard to the Judaization of Jerusalem and to entrenchment of its status as Israel’s “eternal” capital. This is the beginning of the end of the Zionist project, the eve of the beginning of the “war of transfer”, the strike against Iraq which will be used to uproot the Palestinians from their ancestral land and force them into a new exodus.
Writing in Le Monde, André Fontaine says, “Arab weakness emboldens the strategists in Tel Aviv and their American friends; it pushes them to play the precious card, aimed at making the Holy City their eternal capital”. Thus, he calls for an international stand in support of Islamic and Christian rights in Jerusalem. “It is better for them to arrive late than not to arrive at all”, he concludes.
Such is the secret of the Palestinian cry in the American “desert”, coupled with a question addressed to the Bush Administration: “How can American legislators decide the fate of a people in the most sacred of cities, by giving a sign of support for the Israeli occupation while ignoring a political solution and defying all beliefs and all rights?”

 

 


 

Arab cover on demand again

Fahed Fanek

Jordan Times, 10/15/02 

AMERICA DID not attack Iraq in 1991 until it secured the badly needed Arab cover, which was provided by Egypt and Syria at governmental level and all Arab Gulf states, at both governmental and popular levels.

At the time, those who volunteered to furnish America with the Arab cover in the political and military spheres, found a strong argument to justify what they did towards their peoples, namely the fact that Iraq has illegally occupied the state of Kuwait. They conveniently projected the conflict as taking place between Iraq and Kuwait and not between America and Iraq. They claimed that they were taking the side of an Arab party against another, based on the principles of law and justice.

Signs of American pressures to again secure Arab cover for the currently planned attack on Iraq are already perceptible, but so far, Arab governments did not oblige.

The US had no problem finding such “cover” for the 1991 Gulf war over Kuwait, as the Iraqi occupation of the tiny emirate enabled the Arab states that took part in the war to claim they were championing Kuwait, an Arab country, rather than siding with a foreign power, America, against an Arab country, Iraq.

But in 2002, those being prodded to provide America with Arab cover find it extremely difficult to do so, for now we face the prospect of blatant American aggression against a fellow Arab country, which leaves no Arabs, even if they have reservations about Iraq and its ruling regime, with any choice other than to oppose war and speak against it.

The pressure on Arab governments to yield to the US has been reflected in recent articles in the Arab press in general and the Jordanian press in particular.

Some pundits have been reassuring America that the Arabs will eventually abandon their hesitation and back America against Iraq, once its planned offensive actually gets under way. Others seek to justify American aggression by blaming it on Baghdad's provocative behaviour, as though Iraq's failure to submit instantly to American extortion is a form of provocation. However, the more discreet and less daring advocates of acquiescence to Washington couch their arguments in terms of future self-interest, stressing the need to curry favour with whatever new Iraqi regime the Americans may install in power in Baghdad.

Whether crudely or subtly put, such talk in the media will not change the blanket opposition of the Jordanian and Arab publics to American aggression, but it may be helpful to the American administration's hawks, for it gives the impression that Arab public opinion is divided between supporters of an American war on Iraq, and supporters of Iraq who oppose war — i.e., that Arab opposition to war is just one point of view among many, rather than the solid consensus.

It should be understood that destroying Iraq and installing a puppet government in Baghdad will give America and Israel free hand to redraw the political map of the Middle East, making Israel the unchallenged master of the region and America the sole custodian of the world's oil reserves.

During the forthcoming period, America will demand that its Arab friends declare frankly that they are with it in its quest to change the regime in Iraq. Its approach will be: You are either with us or with Saddam Hussein. And the providers of Arab cover will say that their goal is to end the suffering of the Iraqi people.

 

 


 

 

Turkey resigned to no-win situation
By Linda Heard

10/15/02

 
In a strange twist of fate Turkey's long-term foe Greece has emerged as the most committed European supporter of Turkey's bid to join the European Union, EU. Turkish Prime Minister Bulent  Ecevit  may be forgiven for thinking: with enemies like this, who needs friends?

A report recently issued by the European Commission has indicated that Turkey's accession to the EU looks unlikely in the foreseeable future, angering the Turkish leadership, which feels that it has done its utmost to comply with entry requirements. 

Greek Foreign Minister George Papandreou was the first to telephone his Turkish counterpart after the disappointing report was made public and assured him that Greece would do its best to rally the 15 EU member countries behind Turkish aspirations during the upcoming EU Summit in December.

With the Greek Prime Minister taking on the mantle of the revolving EU Presidency from January
1, Greece will be well placed to attempt to draw its prodigal son into the fold.

Such effusive Greek support for its ancient nemesis isn't as surprising as it might have been just a decade ago. Relations between the two Mediterranean adversaries have been slowly warming over the last few years after a positive U-turn in relations sparked by Greece's spontaneous humanitarian aid and assistance to Turkey after the 1999 earthquake.

It should be said, though, that Greece is hardly acting altruistically in backing Turkey's entry bid. It is more a case of "if you can't beat 'em join 'em" from the point of view of Athens. A disgruntled Turkish government in the pocket of the U.S. holds little appeal for the Greek leadership, which still eyes Turkey with suspicion.

The U.S. has been advocating Turkey's membership of the Union but with the cooling of relations between America and Europe over Nato and Iraq, America's clout with its allies across the pond isn't as strong as it was. Several European countries are still angered by U.S. President George W. Bush's insistence upon Americans being excluded from the jurisdiction of the new International Criminal Court.

America has been waving the carrot of EU membership to Turkey as one of the incentives to get Ankara on its side in any war with Iraq. Turkey's strategic location bordering Iraq means that it could be an important player and the US is anxious to keep it sweet.

Turkey has further been helpful to the Bush administration in Afghanistan by taking over peacekeeping duties. It is also seen as a staunch predominantly Muslim ally of the US in its War on Terror, its role countering accusations from some quarters that the Bush administration is waging war on Islam.

But Turkey's woes don't end with Europe's rejection. Since Ecevit's public falling out with Ahmet Necdet Sezer, the Turkish president, early last year, when the Turkish Lira experienced an unprecedented dive, the country's fragile economy - propped up by the IMF - is still struggling to recover.

At that time Turkish banks collapsed, businesses folded and over one million Turks lost their jobs. Economic instability is one of the reasons why Turkey is hovering at the bottom of the list of EU applicants but not the one cited by the report focusing more on Turkey's poor human rights record.

Ankara has, in fact, been working hard to put right its poor image with regards to human rights and against much internal opposition has managed to eradicate the death penalty, one of the main sticking points for the powers that be in Brussels.

With elections set for next month, the Turkish leadership is concerned that the electorate of its secular state will become embittered by the European snub and turn in even greater numbers to the Islamist Justice and Development Party, or HADEP, the Kurdish party, both of which are an anathema to the current Kemalist government.

If this was not enough to interrupt the slumber of the ailing Ecevit, the spectre of his country being one of the main players in a war with its Iraqi neighbour is more than a good reason.

Like a mesmerised fly being drawn into a red, white and blue spider's web, the Turkish government has been given little choice but to give its support to the Bush administration and its plans for the region. 

Turkey maintains that it wants no part of such military adventurism, and has urged the U.S. to avoid aggression, but at the same time it needs the goodwill of U.S. and American-led financial institutions to keep its economy afloat.

Ecevit said last Friday: "If a military operation is realised we will be involved in it whether or not we want to be. This will bring many problems to Turkey."

Apart from fearing that war with Iraq would mean an untenable drop in tourism and foreign investment, Turkey's main concern is that the Kurds in the north of Iraq will grab the opportunity to declare their own state adjoining the Iraqi/Turkish border. Such a state, Turkey maintains, would inflame its own Kurdish separatist movement, which it has been fighting since 1984, and pose a geopolitical threat to its security.

Far from being figments of an overheated imagination, the Turkish fears could well be founded. Leaders of two opposition Iraqi Kurdish groups, the PUK and the KDP, have put aside their enmity, and drawn up a draft constitution for a Kurdish state in the event that the U.S. invades Iraq and destroys the current regime.

Turkish dailies reported last week that Kurdish and Arabic were nominated as the proposed state's official languages in the draft, which also pinpointed the oil-wealthy city of Kirkuk - not currently under Kurdish control - as the new capital.

Representatives of the Kurdish groups have been quick to assert that the draft resolution is not a precursor to a state but Turkey remains rightly sceptical.

It has even gone as far to warn that in the event that a Kurdish state were to be announced, Turkey would be forced to defend the interests of northern Iraq's Turkoman minority and to secure its borders. It refuses to rule out using military force to do so.

The U.S. is quick to allay Turkish concerns by stressing that Iraq would maintain its integrity once a regime change has been effected, but experts believe that the country could well split up into three with Shias in the south, Sunnis in the centre and Kurds in the north. Most agree that this would be a recipe for turmoil and, perhaps, civil war.

In spite of its declarations of wishing to see Iraq run as a democracy, the U.S. may have other plans for a post-war Iraq.

An October 11 article in the New York Times says that leaks from Washington indicate that the U.S. is preparing for a lengthy occupation of Iraq, with a U.S. military commander in charge. Such a commander would mirror the role adopted by General Douglas MacArthur in Japan after that country's surrender in 1945.

This imperialist arrangement would mean that America would have control over the Iraqi oilfields - the second richest in the world - and would set about prosecuting followers of Saddam for alleged war crimes.

Iraqi opposition groups are naturally bristling over this leaked report, which means that they would be pushed aside and left without political clout. In the meantime, the heavy-hearted Iraqi people are going about their daily lives under the ever-growing cloud of war, while Baghdad prepares to defend itself against a possible U.S. attack.

In an attempt to avoid hostilities at the 11th hour, Iraq has finally agreed to open its doors to unfettered weapons inspection, including Saddam Hussein's palaces. It has invited groups of journalists to view the facilities which the U.S. has shown in satellite images saying that they were suspicious, and it has even invited representatives of the U.S. to come and look round for themselves.

However hard the Iraqi leadership tries to address America's concerns, the U.S. merely heaps more scorn upon its efforts.

It's clear that the Iraqi leadership does not want war with the U.S. The same, unfortunately, cannot be said of the Bush administration. Bush's recent words that war is not inevitable are beginning to ring ever more hollow.

The House and the Senate have given the American leader a bi-partisan green light to use any necessary force and U.S. troops and military hardware are being strategically positioned around the region.

Turkey may soon discover that there are no winners here, with the exception of U.S. self-interest and furtherance of its hegemony that is. Turkey has little to gain and could soon find itself deeply mistrusted by the Arab/Moslem world, already irritated by its close ties with Israel, and by Europe.

Of course, there is always its newfound buddy Greece but you know what they say about Greeks bearing gifts.

Linda S. Heard is a specialist writer on Middle East affairs.


 


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